TE · pick 171, First TE at #171 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping. (2015)

TE·pick 171

FIRST TE IN OUR WINDOW AT #171

Nick Boyle

Drafted by BAL , GM Ozzie Newsome · Delaware

2015 · round 5

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping.

TEs drafted at #171 in NFL history

most recent: Payne Durham (TB, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2014, the model gave a tight end at #171 a 5.6% chance in 2015.

Tight end at #171, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 8.5% · 2027 model: 6.7%

Surrounding picks · 2015 draft

#166STJoe CardonaNE , GM Bill Belichick
#167CBDamian SwannNO , GM Mickey Loomis
#168RBMichael BurtonDET , GM Martin Mayhew
#169LBDavid MayoCAR , GM Dave Gettleman
#170CBTye SmithSEA , GM John Schneider
#172LBD.J. AlexanderKC , GM John Dorsey
#173TEJames O'ShaughnessyKC , GM John Dorsey
#174RBCameron Artis-PayneCAR , GM Dave Gettleman
#175WRKeith MumpheryHOU , GM Rick Smith
#176OGRobert MyersBAL , GM Ozzie Newsome

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2023Payne DurhamTB , GM Jason Licht · Purdue

→ see this cell on the full chart