Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 177

FIRST TE IN OUR WINDOW AT #177

David Jones

Drafted by LAC , GM Bobby Beathard · Delaware St.

1991 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping.

5
TEs drafted at #177 in NFL history
most recent: James Mitchell (DET, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1990, the model gave a tight end at #177 a 6.8% chance in 1991.

Tight end at #177, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%8.9% 1991: 6.8%

Peak: 8.9% · 2027 model: 7.1%

Surrounding picks · 1991 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

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