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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 186

FIRST TE IN OUR WINDOW AT #186

Brad Scovill

Drafted by SEA , GM John Thompson · Penn St.

1981 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping.

5
TEs drafted at #186 in NFL history
most recent: James Hanna (DAL, 2012)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1980, the model gave a tight end at #186 a 5.5% chance in 1981.

Tight end at #186, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%9.7% 1981: 5.5%

Peak: 9.7% · 2027 model: 6.3%

Surrounding picks · 1981 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

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