TE · pick 195, First TE at #195 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping. (1987)

TE·pick 195

FIRST TE IN OUR WINDOW AT #195

William Harris

Drafted by ARI , GM Bill Bidwill · Bishop

1987 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping.

TEs drafted at #195 in NFL history

most recent: Malcolm Johnson (CLE, 2015)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1986, the model gave a tight end at #195 a 6.8% chance in 1987.

Tight end at #195, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.5% · 2027 model: 6.7%

Surrounding picks · 1987 draft

#190OTHarry SwayneTB , GM Phil Krueger
#191STBill SmithGB , GM Tom Braatz
#192CBJohnny ThomasWAS , GM Bobby Beathard
#193OTArchie HarrisCHI , GM Bill Tobin
#194TEWilbur StrozierDEN , GM John Beake

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2015Malcolm JohnsonCLE , GM Ray Farmer · Mississippi St.
2001Dan O'LearyBUF , GM Tom Donahoe · Notre Dame
1998Lawrence HartNYJ , GM Bill Parcells · Southern

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