Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 22

FIRST TE IN OUR WINDOW AT #22

Mike Cobb

Drafted by CIN · Michigan State

1977 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping.

2
TEs drafted at #22 in NFL history
most recent: David LaFleur (DAL, 1997)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1976, the model gave a tight end at #22 a 5.6% chance in 1977.

Tight end at #22, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%6.7% 1977: 5.6%

Peak: 6.7% · 2027 model: 4.5%

Surrounding picks · 1977 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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