Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 228

FIRST TE IN OUR WINDOW AT #228

Kris Mangum

Drafted by CAR , GM Bill Polian · Mississippi

1997 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping.

2
TEs drafted at #228 in NFL history
most recent: Tommy Sweeney (BUF, 2019)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1996, the model gave a tight end at #228 a 8.8% chance in 1997.

Tight end at #228, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%10.5% 1997: 8.8%

Peak: 10.5% · 2027 model: 6.0%

Surrounding picks · 1997 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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