TE · pick 238, First TE at #238 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping. (1999)

TE·pick 238

FIRST TE IN OUR WINDOW AT #238

Justin Swift

Drafted by DEN , GM Mike Shanahan · Kansas St.

1999 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping.

TEs drafted at #238 in NFL history

most recent: Daniel Hardy (TB, 2011)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1998, the model gave a tight end at #238 a 9.1% chance in 1999.

Tight end at #238, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 10.8% · 2027 model: 5.8%

Surrounding picks · 1999 draft

#233RBAutry DensonTB , GM Rich McKay
#234LBKory MinorSF , GM Bill Walsh
#235LBJ.J. SyvrudNYJ , GM Bill Parcells
#236DTNoel ScarlettMIN , GM Frank Gilliam
#237CTodd McClureATL , GM Harold Richardson
#239QBChris GreisenARI , GM Bob Ferguson
#240WRDarnell McDonaldTB , GM Rich McKay
#241WRSean MoreyNE , GM Bobby Grier
#242CBDee MoronkolaJAX , GM Tom Coughlin
#243OGKelvin GarmonDAL , GM Jerry Jones

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2011Daniel HardyTB , GM Mark Dominik · Idaho

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