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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 239

FIRST TE IN OUR WINDOW AT #239

Sean Manuel

Drafted by SF , GM Carmen Policy · New Mexico St.

1996 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping.

2
TEs drafted at #239 in NFL history
most recent: Mike Merritt (KC, 2008)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1995, the model gave a tight end at #239 a 9.1% chance in 1996.

Tight end at #239, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%10.9% 1996: 9.1%

Peak: 10.9% · 2027 model: 5.6%

Surrounding picks · 1996 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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