Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 240

FIRST TE IN OUR WINDOW AT #240

David Paulson

Drafted by PIT , GM Kevin Colbert · Oregon

2012 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2011, the model gave a tight end at #240 a 6.9% chance in 2012.

Tight end at #240, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%10.9% 2012: 6.9%

Peak: 10.9% · 2027 model: 5.5%

Surrounding picks · 2012 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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