TE · pick 247, First TE at #247 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping. (2012)

TE·pick 247

FIRST TE IN OUR WINDOW AT #247

Brad Smelley

Drafted by CLE , GM Tom Heckert · Alabama

2012 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping.

TEs drafted at #247 in NFL history

most recent: Brayden Willis (SF, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2011, the model gave a tight end at #247 a 7.0% chance in 2012.

Tight end at #247, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 11.2% · 2027 model: 5.7%

Surrounding picks · 2012 draft

#242SAntonio AllenNYJ , GM Mike Tannenbaum
#243QBB.J. ColemanGB , GM Ted Thompson
#244WRJordan WhiteNYJ , GM Mike Tannenbaum
#245CBTrevin WadeCLE , GM Tom Heckert
#246CBTerrence FrederickPIT , GM Kevin Colbert
#248OTKelvin BeachumPIT , GM Kevin Colbert
#249DTTravian RobertsonATL , GM Thomas Dimitroff
#250RBEdwin BakerLAC , GM A.J. Smith
#251STJohn PotterBUF , GM Buddy Nix
#252RBDaryl RichardsonLAR , GM Les Snead

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2023Brayden WillisSF , GM John Lynch · Oklahoma

→ see this cell on the full chart