Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 248

FIRST TE IN OUR WINDOW AT #248

Patrick Estes

Drafted by SF , GM Scot McCloughan · Virginia

2005 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping.

4
TEs drafted at #248 in NFL history
most recent: Carsen Ryan (CLE, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2004, the model gave a tight end at #248 a 8.2% chance in 2005.

Tight end at #248, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%11.3% 2005: 8.2%

Peak: 11.3% · 2027 model: 6.2%

Surrounding picks · 2005 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart