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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 252

FIRST TE IN OUR WINDOW AT #252

Matt Murphy

Drafted by DET , GM Matt Millen · Maryland

2002 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping.

2
TEs drafted at #252 in NFL history
most recent: Beau Sandland (CAR, 2016)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a tight end at #252 a 9.1% chance in 2002.

Tight end at #252, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%11.5% 2002: 9.1%

Peak: 11.5% · 2027 model: 5.6%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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