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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 31

FIRST TE IN OUR WINDOW AT #31

Todd Heap

Drafted by BAL , GM Ozzie Newsome · Arizona St.

2001 · round 1

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping.

2
TEs drafted at #31 in NFL history
most recent: Greg Olsen (CHI, 2007)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2000, the model gave a tight end at #31 a 4.6% chance in 2001.

Tight end at #31, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%6.4% 2001: 4.6%

Peak: 6.4% · 2027 model: 5.3%

Surrounding picks · 2001 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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