Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 38

FIRST TE IN OUR WINDOW AT #38

Andre Tillman

Drafted by MIA · Texas Tech

1974 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping.

5
TEs drafted at #38 in NFL history
most recent: Austin Seferian-Jenkins (TB, 2014)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1973, the model gave a tight end at #38 a 5.3% chance in 1974.

Tight end at #38, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%6.7% 1974: 5.3%

Peak: 6.7% · 2027 model: 6.3%

Surrounding picks · 1974 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

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