Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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TE·pick 40

FIRST TE IN OUR WINDOW AT #40

Walter Reeves

Drafted by ARI , GM Bill Bidwill · Auburn

1989 · round 2

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, TE grouping.

3
TEs drafted at #40 in NFL history
most recent: Ben Troupe (TEN, 2004)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1988, the model gave a tight end at #40 a 4.8% chance in 1989.

Tight end at #40, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%6.5% 1989: 4.8%

Peak: 6.5% · 2027 model: 6.0%

Surrounding picks · 1989 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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