Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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WR·pick 14

FIRST WR IN OUR WINDOW AT #14

John Jefferson

Drafted by LAC · Arizona State

1978 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, WR grouping.

2
WRs drafted at #14 in NFL history
most recent: DeVante Parker (MIA, 2015)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1977, the model gave a wide receiver at #14 a 8.8% chance in 1978.

Wide receiver at #14, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%10.4% 1978: 8.8%

Peak: 10.4% · 2027 model: 10.4%

Surrounding picks · 1978 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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