WR · pick 201, First WR at #201 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, WR grouping. (1999)

WR·pick 201

FIRST WR IN OUR WINDOW AT #201

Troy Smith

Drafted by PHI , GM Tom Modrak · East Carolina

1999 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, WR grouping.

WRs drafted at #201 in NFL history

most recent: James Proche (BAL, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1998, the model gave a wide receiver at #201 a 10.1% chance in 1999.

Wide receiver at #201, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 13.2% · 2027 model: 11.7%

Surrounding picks · 1999 draft

#195RBLamarr GlennTB , GM Rich McKay
#196WRDee MillerGB , GM Ron Wolf
#197OGJ.P. MachadoNYJ , GM Bill Parcells
#198LBJeff KellyATL , GM Harold Richardson
#199LBAntico DaltonMIN , GM Frank Gilliam
#202LBMelvin BradleyARI , GM Bob Ferguson
#203OTScott CurryGB , GM Ron Wolf
#204WRChad PlummerDEN , GM Mike Shanahan
#205CBAndre WeathersNYG , GM Ernie Accorsi
#206RBDennis McKinleyARI , GM Bob Ferguson

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2020James ProcheBAL , GM Eric DeCosta · SMU
2015Bud SasserLAR , GM Les Snead · Missouri

→ see this cell on the full chart