Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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WR·pick 202

FIRST WR IN OUR WINDOW AT #202

Lee Mays

Drafted by PIT , GM Kevin Colbert · Texas-El Paso

2002 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, WR grouping.

2
WRs drafted at #202 in NFL history
most recent: Michael Woods II (CLE, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a wide receiver at #202 a 9.9% chance in 2002.

Wide receiver at #202, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%13.2% 2002: 9.9%

Peak: 13.2% · 2027 model: 11.5%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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