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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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WR·pick 209

FIRST WR IN OUR WINDOW AT #209

Ethan Kilmer

Drafted by CIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Penn St.

2006 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, WR grouping.

5
WRs drafted at #209 in NFL history
most recent: Jalen Camp (JAX, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2005, the model gave a wide receiver at #209 a 10.9% chance in 2006.

Wide receiver at #209, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%13.3% 2006: 10.9%

Peak: 13.3% · 2027 model: 12.1%

Surrounding picks · 2006 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

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