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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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WR·pick 216

FIRST WR IN OUR WINDOW AT #216

Patrick Crayton

Drafted by DAL , GM Jerry Jones · NW Oklahoma St.

2004 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, WR grouping.

3
WRs drafted at #216 in NFL history
most recent: Ryan Flournoy (DAL, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a wide receiver at #216 a 11.1% chance in 2004.

Wide receiver at #216, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%13.4% 2004: 11.1%

Peak: 13.4% · 2027 model: 11.6%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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