WR · pick 254, First WR at #254 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, WR grouping. (2002)

WR·pick 254

FIRST WR IN OUR WINDOW AT #254

Aaron Lockett

Drafted by TB , GM Rich McKay · Kansas St.

2002 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, WR grouping.

WRs drafted at #254 in NFL history

most recent: Deion Burks (IND, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a wide receiver at #254 a 10.2% chance in 2002.

Wide receiver at #254, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 14.0% · 2027 model: 11.5%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

#249WRRodney WrightBUF , GM Tom Donahoe
#250TETracey WistromTB , GM Rich McKay
#251RBJarrett FergusonBUF , GM Tom Donahoe
#252TEMatt MurphyDET , GM Matt Millen
#253WRDavid GivensNE , GM Bill Belichick
#255CZack QuacciaTB , GM Rich McKay
#256CBTeddy GainesSF , GM Terry Donahue
#257RBRock CartwrightWAS , GM Vinny Cerrato
#258CBBrad FranklinCAR , GM Marty Hurney
#259OTVictor RogersDET , GM Matt Millen

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2026Deion BurksIND · Oklahoma
2007Jonathan HollandLV , GM Al Davis era · Louisiana Tech

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