WR · pick 4, First WR at #4 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, WR grouping. (1971)

WR·pick 4

FIRST WR IN OUR WINDOW AT #4

J. D. Hill

Drafted by BUF · Arizona State

1971 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, WR grouping.

WRs drafted at #4 in NFL history

most recent: Carnell Tate (TEN, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1970, the model gave a wide receiver at #4 a 6.4% chance in 1971.

Wide receiver at #4, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 8.5% · 2027 model: 8.5%

Surrounding picks · 1971 draft

#1QBJim PlunkettNE
#2QBArchie ManningNO
#5DERichard HarrisPHI
#6RBJohn RigginsNYJ
#7RBJoe ProfitATL
#8WRFrank LewisPIT
#9RBJohn BrockingtonGB

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 10 picks

2026Carnell TateTEN · Ohio St.
2024Marvin Harrison Jr.ARI , GM Monti Ossenfort · Ohio St.
2015Amari CooperLV , GM Reggie McKenzie · Alabama
2014Sammy WatkinsBUF , GM Doug Whaley · Clemson
2011A.J. GreenCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Georgia
2000Peter WarrickCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Florida St.
1995Michael WestbrookWAS , GM Charley Casserly · Colorado
1992Desmond HowardWAS , GM Charley Casserly · Michigan
1984Kenny JacksonPHI , GM Jim Murray · Penn St.
1972Bobby MooreARI · Oregon

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